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Episode summary: David talks to Helen Thompson and Gary Gerstle about the historical precedents for US presidents losing office after a singleterm. It doesn’t happen very often, but it could be about to happen again! Can Trump use the powers of incumbency to prevent it? Can Biden use Trump’s growing chaos to seal his fate? Plus we talk about the fall-out from the first presidential debate and we ask how the politics of the Supreme Court might intersect with a contested election result. Talking Points: One-term presidents are rare in American history. - Herbert Hoover, Jimmy Carter, and George H. W. Bush are the only presidents in the last 100 years who have lost reelection bids. - When you take out third party challengers, you’re left with Hoover and Carter, two presidents who both failed to handle a significant national disaster. The Hoover and Carter cases came at turning points in presidential cycles. - 1932 and 1980 signify profound shifts in political order: from Republican to Democrat, and then from Democrat to…

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